Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-31 0.246470 0.278814 0.313247 0.352571 0.396175 0.442981 0.496960
2025-09-07 0.206417 0.250458 0.300201 0.360328 0.430808 0.510565 0.607403
2025-09-14 0.173470 0.223903 0.283892 0.360042 0.453619 0.564308 0.704547
2025-09-21 0.148530 0.202781 0.270393 0.360039 0.474865 0.616013 0.801508
2025-09-28 0.128912 0.185348 0.258749 0.359987 0.494568 0.665729 0.898011
2025-10-05 0.115516 0.174122 0.253354 0.366570 0.522123 0.725979 1.010499
2025-10-12 0.105581 0.166237 0.251204 0.376582 0.554038 0.792912 1.134700
2025-10-19 0.095022 0.156069 0.244560 0.379209 0.575229 0.845820 1.242090
2025-10-26 0.087954 0.150184 0.243257 0.388879 0.606313 0.913297 1.372242
2025-11-02 0.081812 0.144959 0.242243 0.398490 0.637371 0.981747 1.506489
2025-11-09 0.073790 0.135789 0.234224 0.396559 0.650707 1.024797 1.605686
2025-11-16 0.067165 0.128168 0.227849 0.396412 0.666269 1.071297 1.711386
2025-11-23 0.060813 0.120470 0.220869 0.395034 0.680228 1.116740 1.818837
2025-11-30 0.056938 0.116716 0.220052 0.403488 0.710011 1.187439 1.967443
2025-12-07 0.051973 0.110411 0.214282 0.403105 0.725259 1.236066 2.083968
2025-12-14 0.047596 0.104710 0.209021 0.403062 0.740806 1.285560 2.203613
2025-12-21 0.043671 0.099437 0.204024 0.402982 0.756047 1.334942 2.324788
2025-12-28 0.041112 0.096606 0.203237 0.410239 0.784039 1.406037 2.483471
2026-01-04 0.039239 0.094980 0.204539 0.421283 0.819050 1.489993 2.666160
2026-01-11 0.036555 0.091327 0.201608 0.424178 0.839637 1.550478 2.812197
2026-01-18 0.034950 0.089847 0.202793 0.434845 0.874597 1.636554 3.003945
2026-01-25 0.033446 0.088421 0.203945 0.445446 0.909845 1.724357 3.201592
2026-02-01 0.030813 0.084103 0.198802 0.443316 0.921294 1.771113 3.330656